If the government wants to expand
the economy, it could go about doing it multiple ways. It could cut taxes, so
that consumers have more money in their pockets. The government can also send
money to people in the form of checks as transfer payments. Both of these can
be good politics as they can be spun to show that the government is trying to
shrink itself and to not spend the people’s money wildly. Both of these can trouble
because of the marginal propensity to spend. If people save that new money
instead of going out to the store and spending it, that money is wasted in
terms of trying to grow the economy. Money not spent does not show up in the
GDP calculation (Krugman & Wells p. 386).
However,
there is a more effective way to grow the economy. If the government instead
spends the money on good and services, the same money is out in the economy.
There is still the fact that the money will get pushed on through to consumers,
who will then spend only a fraction of that money and the government has to be
cognizant of the marginal propensity to consume. Growing the size of the GDP
directly through growing the G section of the GDP equation is much stronger
than just giving people money. Not only does the government get money out into
the economy, but the nation also gets a new bridge or jet fighter or whatever it
is the government bought.
There are bound
to be limits to this sort of growth. For
example, there is a lag time to new acquisitions. When the stimulus package was
passed in the wake of the economic crisis of 2008, many of the infrastructure
projects took time to get off the ground and there was much political hay made
over the idea of “shovel ready projects”. Just sending checks to people is much
faster, but then there are fewer jet fighters or state-of-the-art bridges.
Overall, the lag time is a fair trade off as long as the MPC is below one.
Finally, there
is a further concern that there are only so many bridges that can be built or
improved. Once the nation is in a post-scarcity gleaming futuristic utopia then
the direct government expenditure approach might not be the most effective
avenue for growth, but the nation is far from that point for now.
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