It
took over a hundred years for central banking to establish itself in the United
States because the antifederalist strain ran through the country for a long
time. It still does, and our constitution still reflects it. It was even worse
at the start, what with black people who were owned as property only counting
as 3/5ths of a person. That whole thing lasted almost 100 years, and had to
wait until the major colonial powers got rid of the institution where people
were held as capital. The United States was in expansion mode even after
reconstruction, and did not fully emerge as a global power until the time of
the Spanish-American War. It is probably not a coincidence that the emergence
of America’s power is correlated with getting on the central bank wagon. The
Banks of England and France were long in existence, and our nation would swing
towards federalism in monetary policy and then towards and antifederalist. The
Second Bank was not renewed under Andrew Jackson. If there were a Tea Party in
the nineteenth century, Jackson would be the person wearing tea bags stapled to
a tricorner hat.
The other thing holding back central
banking when the United States was young is the business cycle. Sure, things
would get bad and the socialists would agitate and the police would frame some
anarchists for bombing a crowd, but then things would go on the upswing and
whatever impetus for change would be forgotten. This exists now. The Dodd-Frank legislation was a watered-down
bill in the first place, but it was all that could pass our congress at the
time to make sure the events of 2008 never happened again. Of course, it is
less than a decade since the top of the housing market, and politicians are
trying to undo what protections were put in place. Add to that the fact that
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are now saying they will buy mortgages that have
down payments with as little as three percent down. The problem is that as a
culture, the problems are too soon forgotten.
Change happened in 1913 because the
crashes were deep enough and close enough together that even the moneyed
interests were worried about the future. Morgan backed the banks in the Panic
of 1907, and even then that lead to a widespread recession and some bank
failures. What would happen if the next crash was even worse and there was no
James Pierpont Morgan to step in and grant liquidity to the banks? That did
happen in 1929. The Federal Reserve may have failed, but they did not have the
data or the knowledge that the Federal Reserve had in 2008. Thankfully, the Fed
as established uses its power for good, and keeps the economy stable. It is
just a shame that so much human suffering had to happen before it felt
comfortable using its tools. Pray that those tools are never taken from them,
because the main role of the Fed is to keep the economy stable, and it has
proven that it can do that within limits.
No comments:
Post a Comment